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Why an economic soft landing may prove elusive
  + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Edward Chancellor | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +8 min
His latest book, “You Always Hurt the One You Love: Central Banks and the Murder of Capitalism”, won’t make him any friends in monetary policymaking circles. The Fed responded by reducing interest rates to zero and employing various tools to lower bond yields. These economic imbalances prevented central banks from returning interest rates to normal levels. Unless, that is, liberalising economic reforms are enacted that boost productivity and allow interest rates to rise. Bernard Conolly’s book, “You Always Hurt the One You Love: Central Banks and the Murder of Capitalism” was published in hardback in September.
Persons: Bernard Connolly, Connolly, won’t, they’ve, Michael Woodford, , Alan Greenspan, staved, Lehman, Edward Chancellor’s “, Bernard Conolly’s, Peter Thal Larsen, Streisand Neto, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, European Monetary Union, European Commission, Banks, U.S . Federal, stoke, Lehman Brothers, Fed, Reuters Graphics, Treasury, Securities, Thomson Locations: U.S, United States, British, Europe, American, , , disequilibrium, intertemporal, Central
But while the Fed in 2019 was asking "'is this as strong as the labor market can get?' Fed rate hikes could have "very significant, uneven short-term impacts" on the job market. So far headline payroll employment growth remains strong. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsWANTING IT BOTH WAYSFor now, though, the Fed might mark the pandemic labor rebound as essentially complete, despite the risks. The economy needs to create about 100,000 payroll jobs a month to keep pace with population growth.
Persons: Bryan Woolston, Michael Madowitz, Raphael Bostic, Trump, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Kentucky, Center, REUTERS, . Federal Reserve, Washington Center for Equitable, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Atlanta Fed, BLS, American Progress, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Thomson Locations: Frankfort , Kentucky, U.S, Bryan Woolston WASHINGTON, COVID
WASHINGTON, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The U.S. labor market is still in the middle of adjusting to new wage and occupation trends that grew out of the pandemic as large firms raise wages and draw workers away from jobs that pay less, Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic said on Tuesday. Sketching out a problem that could linger as the Fed tries to battle high inflation, Bostic told an Urban Institute conference "there's a lot of shuffle and churn that's going on. That's creating a lot of tension and disequilibrium in the market place, and we've got to work through all that." The economic reopening from the pandemic has included both high levels of job quitting by workers, high vacancy rates among employers, and strong wage growth. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Howard SchneiderOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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